Here's my Super Bowl prediction, based purely on my statistical regression analysis of the history of the game. And guessing.
The Bears are known for their defense. The Colts are known for their offense. The last time this happened was when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers squeaked by with a 48-21 victory over the Oakland Raiders - the Bucs had the best D and the Raiders had the best offense of the 2002-2003 season.
I think it will go the way of the defense again. I think it's easier to have a consistently good defense than offense. It's like basketball -- some days you'll have the touch shooting and you can't miss. Other days, it's nothing but bricks off the rim. But, even if you can't shoot that day, you can still hustle back on defense and try to at least stop the other team.
That's my theory. Bears 48, Colts 21. Because I can't think of any numbers more original than that.
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I might have posted this before, but it's worth watching again. Michael Larson has too much free time, memorizes the Press Your Luck ("no whammies!") game show pattern with the help of a VCR and destroys all previous records. Watch it here. Read about Michael Larson here. I love 4 minutes in when another contestant tries his luck.
And what might be the best press conference ever, the guys accused of causing chaos in Boston with their "bomb scare" which was actually a (weak) marketing campaign for Aqua Teen Hunger Force talk to the press.
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Oh, and Aimee and I are getting a house. No, not him. This!
Posted by alangage at February 1, 2007 05:12 PM
Comments
Colts 31, Bears 9...
...because Chicago's offense is terrible. No way they score 48 points. The Colts' defense has been great in the playoffs and the Bears' defense has only showed up once in their last five games. Credit the NFC Championship game to home field and inexperience on the Saints' part. Grossman is pathetic.
Wow, that house is Hugh!
Posted by: siskow at February 3, 2007 08:28 PM
Now that the Super Bowl is over and it is known forever more that Rex Grossman cannot read defensive coverages I think you owe someone an apology. That's right! You owe God an apology because Tony Dungy and Colts owner Jim Irsay are Christians and God won them that game. The 2006 Chicago Bears did possess a good defense, but when you have God on your side a good defense is like throwing stones at a prostitute: It's just not enough.
Posted by: Cody at February 4, 2007 09:46 PM
Lovie Smith is a Christian too, so I don't know how much He was pulling for either side. I just don't think God was willing to let a team with a ridiculously bad offense win a Super Bowl. I'm not talking 2002 Bucs/Brad Johnson mediocre, I'm talking 2006 Bears/Rex Grossman bad. Should have gone with their backup -- he would have held onto the ball better because everyone knows that if the ball is Griese, it repels rain water.
Posted by: siskow at February 5, 2007 08:15 AM
The Astronaut Farmer could have done a better job at QB, and he's crazy.
I'll give Payton his due. He's funny in those commercials so he deserves a ring.
Posted by: Andy at February 5, 2007 08:24 AM
If stupid Hester wouldn't have run back that kick and Vinatieri wouldn't have missed a field goal, the score would have been 32-10 and my prediction would have been pretty darn close.
Apparently, running the opening kickoff back for a touchdown is poison in a championship football game (see: Ted Ginn Jr., Ohio State Buckeyes).
Posted by: siskow at February 5, 2007 01:01 PM
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